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United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs Sustainable Development

Source-to-sea integrated modelling framework for planning and executing science-based measures and actions for remediation of coastal waters

Finnish environment Institute (Syke) (
Government
)
#OceanAction58749
    Description
    Description

    Syke is committed to the development of a Source-to-Sea (S2S) assessment and simulation tool built upon an integrated modelling framework. It combines the Finnish national watershed simulation model—WSFS-Vemala https://www.syke.fi/en/services/modeling/water-and-marine-modelling/vem…, which integrates hydrological processes with nutrient loading and source apportionment—with the Finnish coastal nutrient loading model - FICOS (https://www.syke.fi/en/services/modeling/water-and-marine-modelling/fin…). The framework captures the full continuum from inland catchments to coastal waters. The integrated modelling system supports science-based planning and decision-making for national and regional authorities. It enables the identification, evaluation, and prioritization of actions aimed at reducing eutrophication and nutrient inputs originating from upstream catchment areas or from coastal and marine areas. This comprehensive framework serves as a strategic tool for planning holistic coastal water quality remediation. To ensure long-term effectiveness and adaptability, the framework includes and utilizes monitoring programs, iterative model updates based on new data and knowledge, and active stakeholder engagement. Effective governance underpins the success of the source-to-sea approach. The framework encourages multi-level coordination among national, regional, and local authorities to align policies and regulations.

    The S2S modelling system is used e.g. to identify optimal locations for aquaculture and fish farms in coastal waters, aiming to minimize environmental impacts. Additionally, it is used to simulate and assess the site-specific environmental effects of individual fish farms—such as nutrient dispersion and sediment accumulation. This enables regulators and planners to evaluate compliance with environmental targets and implement mitigation measures tailored to local ecological conditions.

    The effectiveness of local and international (such as Baltic Sea Action Plan of the Baltic Marine Environment Protection Commission HELCOM) nutrient pollution mitigation efforts in improving water quality in the coastal waters has been assessed. Scenario-based 'what-if' analyses have been conducted to evaluate the long-term impacts of various nutrient abatement strategies at the sea basin scale. For future nutrient inputs, we will apply the open sea nutrient input scenarios from the watershed and within the coastal zone, in collaboration with several partners.

    Partners

    Finnish Environment Institute Syke (Government)
    Ministry of the Environment Finland (Government)
    Ministry of the Agriculture and forestry Finland (Government)
    Natural Resources Institute Finland Luke (Government)
    Finnish meteorological institute FMI (Government)
    University of Helsinki (Academic Institution)
    Åbo Akademi University Environmental and Marine Biology (Academic institution)

    Goal 6

    Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all

    Goal 6

    6.1

    By 2030, achieve universal and equitable access to safe and affordable drinking water for all

    6.1.1

    Proportion of population using safely managed drinking water services

    6.2

    By 2030, achieve access to adequate and equitable sanitation and hygiene for all and end open defecation, paying special attention to the needs of women and girls and those in vulnerable situations

    6.2.1

    Proportion of population using (a) safely managed sanitation services and (b) a hand-washing facility with soap and water

    6.3

    By 2030, improve water quality by reducing pollution, eliminating dumping and minimizing release of hazardous chemicals and materials, halving the proportion of untreated wastewater and substantially increasing recycling and safe reuse globally

    6.3.1

    Proportion of domestic and industrial wastewater flows safely treated

    6.3.2

    Proportion of bodies of water with good ambient water quality

    6.4

    By 2030, substantially increase water-use efficiency across all sectors and ensure sustainable withdrawals and supply of freshwater to address water scarcity and substantially reduce the number of people suffering from water scarcity
    6.4.1

    Change in water-use efficiency over time

    6.4.2

    Level of water stress: freshwater withdrawal as a proportion of available freshwater resources

    6.5

    By 2030, implement integrated water resources management at all levels, including through transboundary cooperation as appropriate

    6.5.1

    Degree of integrated water resources management 

    6.5.2

    Proportion of transboundary basin area with an operational arrangement for water cooperation

    6.6

    By 2020, protect and restore water-related ecosystems, including mountains, forests, wetlands, rivers, aquifers and lakes
    6.6.1

    Change in the extent of water-related ecosystems over time

    6.a

    By 2030, expand international cooperation and capacity-building support to developing countries in water- and sanitation-related activities and programmes, including water harvesting, desalination, water efficiency, wastewater treatment, recycling and reuse technologies
    6.a.1

    Amount of water- and sanitation-related official development assistance that is part of a government-coordinated spending plan

    6.b

    Support and strengthen the participation of local communities in improving water and sanitation management

    6.b.1

    Proportion of local administrative units with established and operational policies and procedures for participation of local communities in water and sanitation management

    Goal 15

    Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems, sustainably manage forests, combat desertification, and halt and reverse land degradation and halt biodiversity loss

    Goal 15

    15.1

    By 2020, ensure the conservation, restoration and sustainable use of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems and their services, in particular forests, wetlands, mountains and drylands, in line with obligations under international agreements

    15.1.1
    Forest area as a proportion of total land area
    15.1.2
    Proportion of important sites for terrestrial and freshwater biodiversity that are covered by protected areas, by ecosystem type

    15.2

    By 2020, promote the implementation of sustainable management of all types of forests, halt deforestation, restore degraded forests and substantially increase afforestation and reforestation globally

    15.2.1
    Progress towards sustainable forest management

    15.3

    By 2030, combat desertification, restore degraded land and soil, including land affected by desertification, drought and floods, and strive to achieve a land degradation-neutral world

    15.3.1
    Proportion of land that is degraded over total land area

    15.4

    By 2030, ensure the conservation of mountain ecosystems, including their biodiversity, in order to enhance their capacity to provide benefits that are essential for sustainable development

    15.4.1
    Coverage by protected areas of important sites for mountain biodiversity
    15.4.2
    Mountain Green Cover Index

    15.5

    Take urgent and significant action to reduce the degradation of natural habitats, halt the loss of biodiversity and, by 2020, protect and prevent the extinction of threatened species

    15.5.1
    Red List Index

    15.6

    Promote fair and equitable sharing of the benefits arising from the utilization of genetic resources and promote appropriate access to such resources, as internationally agreed

    15.6.1
    Number of countries that have adopted legislative, administrative and policy frameworks to ensure fair and equitable sharing of benefits

    15.7

    Take urgent action to end poaching and trafficking of protected species of flora and fauna and address both demand and supply of illegal wildlife products

    15.7.1
    Proportion of traded wildlife that was poached or illicitly trafficked

    15.8

    By 2020, introduce measures to prevent the introduction and significantly reduce the impact of invasive alien species on land and water ecosystems and control or eradicate the priority species

    15.8.1
    Proportion of countries adopting relevant national legislation and adequately resourcing the prevention or control of invasive alien species

    15.9

    By 2020, integrate ecosystem and biodiversity values into national and local planning, development processes, poverty reduction strategies and accounts

    15.9.1

    (a) Number of countries that have established national targets in accordance with or similar to Aichi Biodiversity Target 2 of the Strategic Plan for Biodiversity 2011–2020 in their national biodiversity strategy and action plans and the progress reported towards these targets; and (b) integration of biodiversity into national accounting and reporting systems, defined as implementation of the System of Environmental-Economic Accounting

    15.a

    Mobilize and significantly increase financial resources from all sources to conserve and sustainably use biodiversity and ecosystems

    15.a.1

    (a) Official development assistance on conservation and sustainable use of biodiversity; and (b) revenue generated and finance mobilized from biodiversity-relevant economic instruments

    15.b

    Mobilize significant resources from all sources and at all levels to finance sustainable forest management and provide adequate incentives to developing countries to advance such management, including for conservation and reforestation

    15.b.1

    (a) Official development assistance on conservation and sustainable use of biodiversity; and (b) revenue generated and finance mobilized from biodiversity-relevant economic instruments

    15.c

    Enhance global support for efforts to combat poaching and trafficking of protected species, including by increasing the capacity of local communities to pursue sustainable livelihood opportunities

    15.c.1
    Proportion of traded wildlife that was poached or illicitly trafficked
    Name Description
    Evaluation and future scenarios how the planned nutrient load reductions will affect the eutrophication of the coastal marine areas.
    Virtual representation (digital twin) of marine and coastal environments using data, models and AI tools. Integration of the national coastal nutrient loading model (FICOS) to eDITO (European DIgital Twin of the Ocean) Model Lab
    Increasing coastal models’ forecasting capacity for improving national preparedness in emerging anthropogenic pressures.
    Location management plan for fish farming in the coastal area. The modeling system will be used for identification and planning of optimal locations for aquaculture and fish farms in coastal waters, aiming to minimize their environmental impacts.
    Staff / Technical expertise
    In Syke, contributions from 15+ researchers and marine modellers
    Other, please specify
    The water and marine modeling system and models maintained and developed at Syke https://www.syke.fi/en/services/modeling/water-and-marine-modelling
    No progress reports have been submitted. Please sign in and click here to submit one.
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    Timeline
    01 January 2025 (start date)
    31 December 2028 (date of completion)
    Entity
    Finnish environment Institute (Syke)
    SDGs
    Other beneficiaries
    Ministry of the Environment Finland, Ministry of the Agriculture and forestry Finland, HELCOM (Baltic Marine Environment Protection Commission), Regional (coastal) Centers for Economic Development, Transport and the Environment; Academic institutions in Finland and abroad, Scientific community in general, students and researchers, cities, society in general
    Ocean Basins
    North Atlantic
    Communities of Ocean Action
    Marine and coastal ecosystems management, Sustainable blue economy, Scientific knowledge, research capacity development and transfer of marine technology
    Countries
    Finland
    Finland
    Headquarters
    Helsinki
    Contact Information

    Niina, Group manager